Here’s your traditional Fourth of July finger in the air snapshot of the presidential race: For the first time since April, the President has opened a sustained lead over Mitt Romney in Gallup’s daily tracking poll, 48 to 44 percent. The uptick started before the Supreme Court’s health care ruling, which doesn’t appear to have had much impact.
From the LA Times:
Whether the uptick can be sustained remains to be seen. Recent economic indicators have continued to reflect trouble in the economy, and Obama remains weak among white voters, so he will continue to remain vulnerable. One hopeful historical parallel for the Democrats – in 2004, then-President George W. Bush took a small lead over Democratic Sen. John Kerry at just about this point in the summer. Bush, of course, went on to win reelection. Obama’s level of job approval in Gallup’s surveys stands at exactly the level that Bush garnered at this point in 2004.